Exponential Growth and Decay
Learning objectives
After this section you will be able to:
- Distinguish repeated addition from repeated multiplication.
- Calculate growth and decay with a constant percent rate.
- Interpret model predictions and their limits.
Real-life situation
Exponential Growth and Decay in practice
A hypothetical Philadelphia repair club tracks a $500 equipment reserve and a $1,000 machine. Rates are modeling assumptions, not promised returns. Round final money amounts to cents; keep intermediate powers unrounded.
| Period | Reserve at 10% growth | Machine at 20% decay |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 500 | 1000 |
| 1 | 550 | 800 |
| 2 | 605 | 640 |
The concept
Linear change adds the same amount each period. Exponential change multiplies by the same factor. Adding $50 to $500 produces $550 and then $600; growing by 10% produces $550 and then $605 because the second increase uses a larger base.
A percent rate must become a decimal before entering the model. A 10% increase gives a factor of 1.10, while a 20% decrease gives 0.80. The exponent counts complete periods; match the rate period to the time unit.
For decay, the remaining amount is multiplied again, not reduced by the original dollar loss each time. Under a 20% annual decline, a $1,000 machine loses $200 in year one but $160 in year two. This model estimates resale value; it is not an accounting or tax rule.
A constant-rate model is a conditional forecast. Real sales, equipment values, and account rates change. State the starting value, period, and assumption, and do not round every intermediate result unless the actual account credits rounded amounts each period.
Exponential Growth and Decay: solution map
- 1
Identify the question
Model $500 growing by 10% per year for 3 years.
- 2
Calculation 1
Convert 10% to 0.10.
- 3
Calculation 2
Factor = 1 + 0.10 = 1.10.
- 4
Calculation 3
Compute 1.10³ = 1.331.
- 5
Calculation 4
Multiply $500 × 1.331 = $665.50.
- 6
Interpret and check
The modeled balance is $665.50.
Money Words
Plain-language words you will use in this lesson — learn them before we reach the formulas.
compound interest
Interest earned on both the original amount and the interest already earned.
future value
What an amount of money today will be worth at a later date with interest.
present value
What a future amount of money is worth today at a given interest rate.
Key terms
- Exponential model
- A model with a constant multiplicative change per period.
- Growth factor
- One plus the decimal growth rate.
- Decay factor
- One minus the decimal decline rate.
- Initial value
- The quantity at period zero.
- Exponent
- The number of repeated factor multiplications.
Formulas & rules
Growth
A = P(1 + r)ⁿ
Decay
A = P(1 − d)ⁿ
Linear comparison
A = P + kn
Worked examples
Model $500 growing by 10% per year for 3 years.
Solution
- 1Convert 10% to 0.10.
- 2Factor = 1 + 0.10 = 1.10.
- 3Compute 1.10³ = 1.331.
- 4Multiply $500 × 1.331 = $665.50.
Answer: The modeled balance is $665.50.
Estimate a $1,000 machine after 3 years of 20% annual decay.
Solution
- 1Convert 20% to 0.20.
- 2Remaining factor = 1 − 0.20 = 0.80.
- 3Compute 0.80³ = 0.512.
- 4Multiply $1,000 × 0.512 = $512.00.
Answer: Estimated value: $512.00, not a guaranteed sale price.
Practice exercises 26.1
- Grow $200 by 5% for 2 years.
- Reduce $800 by 25% each year for 2 years.
- Compare adding $20 yearly to $200 with growing $200 by 10% yearly, after 2 years.
- A subscriber count goes 100, 120, 144. Identify the constant factor and rate.
- A model predicts 400 orders after two years. Is that a guarantee?
Recap quiz 26.1
Section 26.1 recap
- Use a multiplicative factor for a constant percent change.
- Match time units and state assumptions; round money at the end.
Answer key with explanations: Section 26.1
Practice exercises
- 200 × 1.05² = 220.50, so the result is $220.50.
- Factor = 0.75; 800 × 0.75² = $450.00.
- Linear: 200 + 2 × 20 = $240.00. Exponential: 200 × 1.10² = $242.00, $2.00 more.
- 120 ÷ 100 = 1.2 and 144 ÷ 120 = 1.2; rate = 1.2 − 1 = 20% per period.
- No. Repeated multiplication assumes a stable rate; changing demand can change actual orders. Treat 400 as a conditional prediction.
Recap quiz
- 0.85: 1 − 0.15 = 0.85.
- $121: 100 × 1.10² = $121.00.
- 3, 6, 12: 6 ÷ 3 = 12 ÷ 6 = 2, a constant factor.